Is AMD Stock A Buy Ahead Of Chipmaker's Q2 Earnings Report?

3 months ago 85

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) banal surged to an all-time precocious successful aboriginal March connected capitalist enthusiasm for its processors for artificial intelligence. But its shares fell up of the debut of caller AI chips from rival Nvidia (NVDA). With the pullback successful the chipmaker's shares, immoderate investors whitethorn beryllium wondering: Is AMD banal a bargain close now?

X NOW PLAYING AMD Executive Touts These AI Chip Advantages As Battle With Nvidia Heats Up

AMD staged an astonishing turnaround aft bottoming successful 2015, fueled by caller products and improved profitability. And AMD banal rocketed implicit the adjacent six years. But it slumped starting successful precocious 2021 during a cyclical diminution successful idiosyncratic machine sales. However, past year, AMD shares roseate anew amid excitement implicit its AI chips for information centers. It besides is apt to nett from a PC upgrade rhythm spurred by AI PCs.

AMD competes with Intel (INTC) successful making cardinal processing units, oregon CPUs, for idiosyncratic computers and servers. It besides rivals Nvidia successful the marketplace for graphics processing units, oregon GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and information centers.

Founded successful May 1969, AMD went nationalist successful September 1972. AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor concern successful March 2009 by spinning disconnected its factories arsenic GlobalFoundries (GFS).

Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference

Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins successful October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based institution into a caller epoch with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips successful 2017.

Under her supervision, AMD jumped up of Intel successful making CPUs astatine smaller node sizes, giving its products an borderline successful velocity and performance. AMD is present making chips astatine 4-nanometer scale. Circuit widths connected chips are measured successful nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.

Chip foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) produces AMD's chips.

The concern has helped AMD instrumentality marketplace stock from Intel successful PCs and servers. Those gains person buoyed AMD stock.

AMD present is focused connected making chips for artificial quality applications, a marketplace wherever Nvidia leads. Analysts accidental AMD benefits from providing customers with an alternative to Nvidia.

Data Center-Related Acquisitions

Su besides has overseen respective large acquisitions. In February 2022, AMD completed its acquisition of Xilinx successful an all-stock woody worthy $49 billion. AMD is expanding its beingness successful the information halfway marketplace with specialty chips from Xilinx.

Also, successful May 2022, AMD completed its $1.9 cardinal acquisition of distributed computing startup Pensando Systems. AMD said the woody volition heighten its information halfway capabilities.

On July 10, AMD announced a woody to bargain Silo AI, the largest backstage artificial quality laboratory successful Europe, for $665 million. Silo AI has developed tailored AI models, platforms and solutions for starring enterprises spanning cloud, embedded and endpoint computing markets. AMD banal jumped 3.9% connected the news.

AMD Taking Market Share From Intel

In the archetypal quarter, AMD took marketplace stock from Intel successful CPUs for PCs arsenic good arsenic servers, according to Mercury Research.

AMD's portion stock of PC processor income was 20.6% successful the archetypal quarter, up from 17% successful the year-earlier period. Its desktop PC processor marketplace stock was 23.9%, vs. 19.2% successful the aforesaid 4th past year. Its notebook PC processor stock was 19.3% successful Q1, vs. 16.2% successful the year-ago quarter.

AMD's portion stock of the lucrative server CPU marketplace roseate to 23.6% successful the archetypal 4th from 18% successful the year-earlier period.

Advanced Micro Devices News: AI Chips

On Dec. 6, AMD launched its Instinct MI300 accelerators and processors for information centers. Those systems for high-performance computing and AI applications vie with Nvidia's H100 bid devices. AMD banal dropped 1.3% connected the time of its "Advancing AI" event. But the adjacent day, Dec. 7, shares rocketed astir 10%.

However, Nvidia leapfrogged AMD with its latest AI processors, which it announced connected March 18. Those processors, the Blackwell bid GPUs, volition beryllium disposable successful precocious 2024. AMD banal retreated connected the news.

But AMD banal popped higher connected May 17 connected a study that Microsoft (MSFT) plans to offer its Azure unreality computing customers a platform of AMD artificial quality chips arsenic an alternate to systems moving Nvidia chips.

On June 2 astatine the Computex commercialized show, Su announced that AMD is moving to an yearly cadence for its Instinct AI accelerators. After the existent MI300, it volition present the MI325X aboriginal this year, MI350 successful 2025 and MI400 successful 2026.

At Computex, Su also updated the company's processor roadmap for notebook and desktop PCs. That includes the nascent class of high-end idiosyncratic computers called AI PCs.

AMD Fundamental Analysis

Late connected April 30, AMD matched Wall Street's net people for the first quarter but its income were a tad light. Also, its income outlook for the existent 4th was astir successful enactment with estimates. AMD banal fell 8.9% successful the adjacent trading session.

Advanced Micro Devices earned an adjusted 62 cents a stock connected income of $5.47 cardinal successful the March quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected net of 62 cents a stock connected income of $5.48 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD net roseate 3% portion income climbed 2%.

For the existent quarter, AMD predicted income of $5.7 billion, positive oregon minus $300 million. Analysts had been looking for Q2 gross of $5.73 billion. In the year-earlier period, AMD generated income of $5.36 cardinal for that quarter.

The adjacent catalyst for AMD banal could beryllium its Q2 net report, owed connected Tuesday. Wall Street is forecasting AMD net of 68 cents a share, up 17% twelvemonth implicit year, connected income of $5.72 billion, up 7%, successful the June quarter.

AMD Stock Technical Analysis

AMD banal sank to a astir four-decade debased of 1.61 a stock successful July 2015 earlier starting its epic recovery. In December 2021, it deed a then-record precocious of 164.46 connected beardown PC income during the Covid pandemic.

AMD banal notched a caller all-time precocious of 227.30 successful intraday trades connected March 8. But it fell implicit the adjacent 4 weeks, dropping beneath its 50-day moving mean line. It roseate supra that cardinal level successful precocious June, but tumbled beneath it again connected July 17 during a wide sell-off of tech stocks.

Advanced Micro Devices shares ended the regular trading league connected July 26 astatine 139.99.

AMD banal has an IBD Relative Strength Rating of 46 retired of 99. The Relative Strength Rating shows however a stock's terms show stacks up against each different stocks implicit the past 52 weeks. The champion maturation stocks typically person RS Ratings of astatine slightest 80.

AMD banal carries an IBD Composite Rating of 65 retired of 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines 5 abstracted proprietary ratings into 1 easy-to-use rating. The champion maturation stocks person a Composite Rating of 90 oregon better.

Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?

No, AMD banal is not a bargain close now.

AMD volition request to signifier a new base successful the right marketplace conditions earlier mounting different imaginable buy point. Check retired IBD's Big Picture column for the existent marketplace direction.

The IBD Stock Checkup instrumentality ranks AMD banal arsenic No. 12 retired of 39 stocks successful IBD's fabless semiconductor manufacture group. The fabless chipmaker radical ranks No. 14 retired of 197 manufacture groups that IBD tracks. IBD trading guidelines urge focusing connected top-rated stocks successful starring manufacture groups.

To find the best stocks to bargain oregon watch, cheque retired IBD Stock Lists arsenic good arsenic IBD's Leaderboard, MarketSurge and SwingTrader platforms.

Follow Patrick Seitz connected X, formerly Twitter, astatine @IBD_PSeitz for much stories connected user technology, bundle and semiconductor stocks.

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